Position IDGL-20260906-008

Published position · Football · La Liga - Spain

Alavés vs CA Osasuna

CA Osasuna to win · Match Winner

OPENStarts 2026-09-06 16:30 UTC

UPCOMING

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Starts in 39 min

Sep 6 · 16:30 UTC · the live state appears at kick-off.

Position now

Selection: CA Osasuna to win
Market: Match Winner

Recorded odds: 3.800
Minimum Qualifying Odds: 3.72+

Risk: 1.00u
Event start: 2026-09-06 16:30 UTC

Observed at: unibet_se · region eu
Observed: 2026-09-06 14:34 UTC
Published (locked): 2026-09-06 14:34 UTC

What this status means

The available odds are still at or above the Minimum Qualifying Odds.

The recorded operator is the source at which GLINTARY observed the price. It is not a recommendation and not a guarantee that the price is available to you. View odds evidence →

Why it qualified

The case as it was frozen at lock, point by point.

CA Osasuna holds a strong historical La Liga head-to-head advantage with 13 wins compared to 4 for Deportivo Alavés and 5 draws (CS-d091644f-bf6).
Both teams share identical strong early season form, entering the match unbeaten with seven points from their opening three fixtures (CL-c332bb8f-6fe, CS-94acf74e-18c).
Deportivo Alavés faces personnel disruption with defender Facundo Garcés suspended (CL-4b2a142b-ba9), alongside injuries to Toni Martínez (CL-d73daccd-903) and Mikel Rodríguez (CL-5879934b-a5f).

A decimal quote of 3.800 requires a true win probability of at least 26.32 percent for CA Osasuna to break even.

Risks / what could change

Backing CA Osasuna away from home while suffering key personnel absences (Aimar Oroz and Jorge Herrando ruled out, Valentin Rosier questionable) alongside an elevated market dispersion of 11.76%.

CA Osasuna is burdened by verified personnel absences, with Aimar Oroz and Jorge Herrando confirmed out and Valentin Rosier questionable (CL-104cb7dd-ad7).
Price dispersion of 11.76 percent sits just below the 12.00 percent ceiling, raising the possibility that 3.800 is an isolated quote lagging recent squad news rather than market-wide inefficiency.
Market movement data is limited to a single sample, leaving the presence of adverse betting steam unobservable prior to the match.

A published position is a research view, not a claim of certainty. Every position can lose.

Evidence and sources

Position now

Selection: CA Osasuna to win
Market: Match Winner

Recorded odds: 3.800
Minimum Qualifying Odds: 3.72+

Risk: 1.00u
Event start: 2026-09-06 16:30 UTC

Observed at: unibet_se · region eu
Observed: 2026-09-06 14:34 UTC
Published (locked): 2026-09-06 14:34 UTC

What this status means

The available odds are still at or above the Minimum Qualifying Odds.

The recorded operator is the source at which GLINTARY observed the price. It is not a recommendation and not a guarantee that the price is available to you. View odds evidence →

Why it qualified

The case as it was frozen at lock, point by point.

CA Osasuna holds a strong historical La Liga head-to-head advantage with 13 wins compared to 4 for Deportivo Alavés and 5 draws (CS-d091644f-bf6).

Both teams share identical strong early season form, entering the match unbeaten with seven points from their opening three fixtures (CL-c332bb8f-6fe, CS-94acf74e-18c).

Deportivo Alavés faces personnel disruption with defender Facundo Garcés suspended (CL-4b2a142b-ba9), alongside injuries to Toni Martínez (CL-d73daccd-903) and Mikel Rodríguez (CL-5879934b-a5f).

A decimal quote of 3.800 requires a true win probability of at least 26.32 percent for CA Osasuna to break even.

Risks / what could change

Backing CA Osasuna away from home while suffering key personnel absences (Aimar Oroz and Jorge Herrando ruled out, Valentin Rosier questionable) alongside an elevated market dispersion of 11.76%.

CA Osasuna is burdened by verified personnel absences, with Aimar Oroz and Jorge Herrando confirmed out and Valentin Rosier questionable (CL-104cb7dd-ad7).

Price dispersion of 11.76 percent sits just below the 12.00 percent ceiling, raising the possibility that 3.800 is an isolated quote lagging recent squad news rather than market-wide inefficiency.

Market movement data is limited to a single sample, leaving the presence of adverse betting steam unobservable prior to the match.

A published position is a research view, not a claim of certainty. Every position can lose.

Alavés vs CA Osasuna

Position now

Why it qualified

Risks / what could change

Evidence and sources

Alavés vs CA Osasuna

Position now

Why it qualified

Risks / what could change

Evidence and sources

What the price means

Record and verification

Changes and settlement

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