Position IDGL-20260906-004

Published position · Football · Primeira Liga - Portugal

Gil Vicente vs Académico de Viseu

Académico de Viseu to win · Match Winner

CLOSED TO NEW ENTRIES · ODDSStarts 2026-09-06 19:30 UTC

UPCOMING

Upcoming

Starts in 11 h 34 min

Sep 6 · 19:30 UTC · the live state appears at kick-off.

Position now

Selection: Académico de Viseu to win
Market: Match Winner

Recorded odds: 4.000
Minimum Qualifying Odds: 3.98+

Risk: 1.00u
Event start: 2026-09-06 19:30 UTC

Observed at: smarkets · region uk
Observed: 2026-09-06 06:17 UTC
Published (locked): 2026-09-06 06:16 UTC

What this status means

The available odds have fallen below the Minimum Qualifying Odds, so the position is closed to new entries at the current odds. The original position stays on record at its Recorded Odds and is settled normally.

The recorded operator is the source at which GLINTARY observed the price. It is not a recommendation and not a guarantee that the price is available to you. View odds evidence →

Primeira Liga: Gil Vicente vs Académico de Viseu

Académico de Viseu visits Gil Vicente at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos seeking their first top-flight victory. Gil Vicente enters unbeaten through three rounds with zero goals conceded, while Académico de Viseu sits in 16th with two points from four matches. A market price of 4.000 on Smarkets clears the de-vig fair threshold of 3.98, though the margin of clearance is narrow amidst high market dispersion.

The case ↓Sources ↓Verification ↓

What the price means

Locked odds: 4.000
Implied probability: 25.0%; 100 ÷ the decimal odds. A statement about the price, not a prediction.
De-vigged market probability: 26.0%; The market-implied probability after removing the reference bookmaker margin, from the fair price on the research record.
Edge over fair price: +4.1%; Recorded price against the de-vigged fair price at research time.

Market underdogThe de-vigged market probability of this side was below the favourite's across the 3-way market at lock time.

Why it qualified

The case as it was frozen at lock, point by point.

Académico de Viseu is competing in their first-ever Primeira Liga season and seeks their first win following two draws and two losses in four fixtures (CL-d42f8dc0-be7, CL-b363b77f-3ab).
Forward André Clóvis spearheads the Académico de Viseu attack, having scored two of the club's four league goals this season (CL-2021f36b-d41).
Gil Vicente sits in 6th place with seven points from three matches (2 wins, 1 draw), having scored three goals and conceded none (CL-e790a0d8-235).

The 4.000 decimal price requires an implied win probability of 25.00%, outperforming the de-vig fair probability requirement of 26.02% (or threshold requirement of 25.13% at 3.98).

Risks / what could change

The recorded 4.000 price clears the 3.98 threshold by only 0.02 decimal points against an unbeaten defense, meaning standard exchange commissions or minor model variance would completely eliminate the 4.09% edge.

The price of 4.000 clears the acceptable threshold of 3.98 by only 0.02 decimal points (0.5%), leaving virtually no safety buffer against model or execution variance.
Unrecorded exchange commission on Smarkets could reduce net payout below the 3.98 minimum acceptable threshold.
Market dispersion across 54 operators stands at 11.73%, approaching the 12.00% maximum permissible limit and indicating wide disagreement across bookmakers.
Gil Vicente is unbeaten with three clean sheets, while newly promoted Académico de Viseu has conceded eight goals across four winless fixtures.

A published position is a research view, not a claim of certainty. Every position can lose.

Evidence and sources

TIER 2 · TRUSTED LOCAL
Gil Vicente - Académico de Viseu prediction & tips 06.09.2026 ↗
On Sunday, September 6, 2026, at 20:30, Gil Vicente will host Académico de Viseu at the Estádio Cidade de Barcelos for a Primeira Liga clash on Matchday 5. This encounter provides an intriguing matchup, with Gil Vicente looking to maintain their strong form, while Académico de Viseu seeks to turn their fortunes around. The match will be officiated by referee Pedro Ramalho. [...] In conclusion, our · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 2 · TRUSTED LOCAL
GD Estoril - FC Arouca prediction & tips 07.09.2026 ↗
| 14 | FC Famalicão FC Famalicão | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | | 15 | FC Alverca FC Alverca | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | | 16 | Académico de Viseu Académico de Viseu | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | | 17 | GD Estoril GD Estoril | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | | 18 | Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | -11 | [...] | POS | TEAM | PTS | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 2 · TRUSTED LOCAL
Estrela Amadora - FC Famalicão prediction & tips 05.09.2026 ↗
| 14 | FC Famalicão FC Famalicão | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | | 15 | FC Alverca FC Alverca | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | | 16 | Académico de Viseu Académico de Viseu | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | | 17 | GD Estoril GD Estoril | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | | 18 | Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | -11 | [...] | POS | TEAM | PTS | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Gil Vicente vs Academico Viseu Prediction, Betting Tips ... ↗
Gil Vicente logo Academico Viseu logo Gil Vicente logo Academico Viseu logo ## Gil Vicente vs Academico Viseu Lineups & Team News Make sure you're up to date on the Gil Vicente vs Academico Viseu team news before betting. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga and the newest injury information. ### Gil Vicente Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1 ### Academico Viseu Pr · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Gil Vicente vs Academico de Viseu - prediction, team news, ... ↗
## Teams mentioned in this article : ### Gil Vicente Gil Vicente ### Academico de Viseu Academico de Viseu Gil Vicente related articles Famalicao vs Gil Vicente - prediction, team news, lineups/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F08%2Ffotojet-2026-08-29t013525-913-6a9229a2f316f105793443.jpg) Preview: Famalicao vs Gil Vicente - prediction, team news, · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Marítimo vs Benfica Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Sep 2026 ↗
## Marítimo vs Benfica Lineups & Team News Before placing any bets on Marítimo vs Benfica, check the team news first. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries. CS Marítimo Team Page Benfica Team Page ### Maritimo Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1 ### Benfica Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1 ### Maritimo Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1 13 Alfonso · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Porto vs Moreirense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Sep 2026 ↗
- Table Tennis Predictions - Tennis Predictions - UFC Predictions + Accumulator Tips Lineups Injuries Fixtures & Results Standings Reviews Team News & Stats + Football Lineups - Premier League Lineups - La Liga Lineups - Serie A Lineups - Bundesliga Lineups - Champions League Lineups - FIFA World Cup Lineups + Football Injuries - Premier League Injur · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Atletico Madrid XI vs Athletic Club - Predicted lineup ↗
Possible Atletico Madrid starting XI:Oblak; Llorente, Hancko, Pubill, Grimaldo; Barrios, Hjulmand; Simeone, Kang-in, Lookman; Baena ## When will the match kick off? The match will kick off at 3:15pm BST on Saturday, 5th September. ## How to watch Athletic Club vs Atlético Madrid? Fans in the United Kingdom can follow Athletic Club vs. Atlético Madrid live on LALIGATV. Read Also – Gil Vicente · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Villarreal vs Deportivo A Coruña Prediction & Betting Tips - 05/09/2026 ↗
Absent Noe Carrillo (ankle issue / muscle injury (expected return mid-September 2026)) Adria Altimira (suspension (red card)) Angelino (thigh muscle strain (out indefinitely)) Medium confidence [...] Absent Sergi Cardona (injury) Raúl Albiol (suspended) Alfonso Pedraza (injury) #### Deportivo A Coruña 4-4-2 Starters 1. 1 Leo Román 2. 2 Ximo Navarro 3. 3 Lucas Noubi 4. 4 Bright Ede 5. · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
How to buy Primeira Liga 2026/27 tickets: Upcoming fixtures, prices, venue information and more ↗
| Sep 4/5/6/7 (TBA) | Estrela vs Famalicão | Estádio José Gomes (Amadora) | Tickets | | Sep 4/5/6/7 (TBA) | Gil Vicente vs Académico de Viseu | Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos) | Tickets | | Sep 4/5/6/7 (TBA) | Santa Clara vs Rio Ave | Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada, Azores) | Tickets | | Sep 4/5/6/7 (TBA) | Vitória Guimarães vs Casa Pia | Dom Afonso Henriques (Guimaraes) | Tickets | [. · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
How to buy Porto 2026/27 tickets: Upcoming fixtures, ticket prices, Primeira Liga news and more | Goal.com Nigeria ↗
| Date & Time (local) | Fixture | Location | Tickets | --- --- | | Sat, Aug 29 (6pm) | Académico de Viseu vs Porto | Estádio Municipal do Fontelo (Viseu) | Tickets | | Sun, Sep 6 (TBA) | Porto vs Moreirense | Estádio do Dragão (Porto) | Tickets | | Sun, Sep 13 (TBA) | Casa Pia vs Porto | Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior) | Tickets | | Sun, Sep 20 (TBA) | Porto vs Benfica | Estádio do Dr · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Portugal Primeira Liga 2026/27: Dates, Odds & Preview | News.22Bet ↗
Newly promoted Marítimo and Académico de Viseu are the obvious candidates for an immediate return to the second tier, but there are different reasons for concern. Marítimo will play their home matches at the Estádio da Madeira, which has a capacity of just 5,200. While the venue is well known for its unique setting, it is unlikely to provide the intimidating atmosphere that many established Prime · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Gil Vicente vs Académico Viseu - live score, predicted lineups and H2H stats ↗
TV schedules # Gil Vicente vs Académico Viseu — Sun, September 6, 7:30 PM UTC Liga Portugal Round 5 Liga Portugal Round 5 Estádio Cidade de Barcelos Gil VicenteGil Vicente Académico ViseuAcadémico Viseu # Gil Vicente vs Académico Viseu — Sun, September 6, 7:30 PM UTC Liga Portugal Round 5 Liga Portugal Round 5 Estádio Cidade de Barcelos Gil VicenteGil Vicente Académico Vise · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Gil Vicente vs Sporting Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Jan 2026 ↗
Be smart with your bets — check the Gil Vicente vs Sporting team news beforehand. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga and all current injury news. Gil Vicente Team Page Sporting CP Team Page ### Gil Vicente Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1 ### Sporting Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1 ### Gil Vicente Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1 42 Andrew 2 Ze Carlos 4 Marvin G · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Gil Vicente U23 VS Portimonense U23: Live Scores, Lineups, H2H & Odds ↗
Gil Vicente U23 will take on Portimonense U23 on Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at Campo 1 Centro De Treinos Cidade De Barcelos as part of Regular Season in · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Gil Vicente U23 VS Rio Ave U23: Live Scores, Lineups, H2H & Odds ↗
Gil Vicente U23 will take on Rio Ave U23 on Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at Campo 1 Centro De Treinos Cidade De Barcelos as part of Regular Season in the Liga · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Maritimo U23 vs Gil Vicente U23: Scores, Results Lineups, H2H & Odds ↗
Maritimo U23 will take on Gil Vicente U23 on Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at Estádio da Imaculada Conceição as part of Regular Season in the Liga Revelacao · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Benfica U23 VS Academico De Viseu Fc U23: Live Scores, Lineups, H2H & Odds ↗
Benfica U23 will take on Academico De Viseu Fc U23 on Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at Benfica Campus - Campo Nº1 as part of Regular Season in the Liga · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Benfica U23 v Academico Viseu U23 LIVE 02/09/2026 | Soccer ↗
Lite version. Gamble responsibly. National Responsible Gambling Programme. 18+. Copyright © 2017-26 Flashscore.co.za. Set privacy. · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Academico Viseu Standings, Matches and Scores ↗
Complete Academico Viseu coverage: current standings, upcoming fixtures, recent results and team stats. Live updates and league table position. · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:15 UTC

Odds evidence records · 1

Provider is the data feed that delivered the observation; operator is the source at which the odds were shown. The recorded operator is the source at which GLINTARY observed the price. It is not a recommendation and not a guarantee that the price is available to you.

Evidence ID: OE-c56aa62c241ea89b
Provider: the-odds-api
Operator: smarkets
Region: uk
Odds: 4.000
Observed: 2026-09-06 06:17 UTC
Evidence hash: 786def58f2e2a44e293ff96031844a14276d48480e63dc841593c54fcd841bba

Record and verification

ProofVERIFIED

Batch: BOARD-20260906-B
Committed: 2026-09-06 06:17 UTC
Revealed: 2026-09-06 06:17 UTC

Proof fields

Merkle root

eebd80a33def89bd2f17b1517f1d8d995a2eb47ec4f8e1efbcbdf034e60bf877

Record fingerprint

2ec08ea759e3d5133b7300bb207f3638eb5be2d41084c15949403bee817dc5ea

Check this position

How verification works · Public Ledger · All positions · The research candidate behind this position

Record detailsIdentifiers, versions and thresholds, for quoting a value.

Position IDGL-20260906-004

Event IDEV-20260906-54193bdab11f

Market reference: 3.580
Source / operator: smarkets
Source region: uk
Odds observed: 2026-09-06 06:17 UTC
Published (locked): 2026-09-06 06:16 UTC
Evidence grade: B+
Methodology: v1.0
Minimum Qualifying Odds basis: Analyst threshold

Reference market information. Availability varies by time, operator and jurisdiction.

Changes and settlement

The event has not started. Any change to this record is published here and in the change log.

Updates

2026-09-06 06:51 UTCSTATUS CHANGEOPEN → CLOSED TO NEW ENTRIES · ODDS
Current best odds 3.950 are below the minimum qualifying odds 3.98. Closed to new entries at the current odds; the original position stays on record at its recorded odds and settles normally.
by autonomous-engineevent hash 94e771cd1567…

Full change logEvery event appended to this record, including the routine ones.

2026-09-06 06:16 UTCLOCKEDOPEN
Position locked at 4.000 (smarkets, uk). Acceptable at 3.98 or better. Execution class: GLOBAL_REFERENCE_ONLY.
by autonomous-engineevent hash ee105a42d1d4…
2026-09-06 06:17 UTCCOMMITTED
Committed in batch BOARD-20260906-B. Root eebd80a33def89bd…
by autonomous-engineevent hash 7bcd7b545a5a…
2026-09-06 06:17 UTCREVEALED
Canonical payload, nonce and inclusion proof published.
by autonomous-engineevent hash 08539e5f7cd9…
2026-09-06 06:51 UTCSTATUS CHANGEOPEN → CLOSED TO NEW ENTRIES · ODDS
Current best odds 3.950 are below the minimum qualifying odds 3.98. Closed to new entries at the current odds; the original position stays on record at its recorded odds and settles normally.
by autonomous-engineevent hash 94e771cd1567…