Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor

Why it qualified

The case as it was frozen at lock, point by point.

• A pricing discrepancy exists between the exchange quote of 3.550 (betfair_ex_uk) and the wider market median of 3.200 across 51 sampled sportsbooks.
• The de-vigged fair price is calculated at 3.411 against an acceptable price threshold of 3.540, meaning the available 3.550 quote nominally clears threshold criteria.
• Samsunspor currently sit 10th with 4 points from 3 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, with 5 goals scored and 5 conceded) as recorded in sports data.

Samsunspor must possess a true win probability exceeding 28.17 percent (the implied probability of the 3.550 quote) despite documented squad limitations.

Risks / what could change

Backing Samsunspor to win away despite verified findings confirming five primary forwards are sidelined with injuries, while the minimal 0.010 margin over the acceptable threshold is captured on an exchange operator where standard commission negates the nominal advantage.

• Verified claim CL-b2e280b8-ebf confirms five Samsunspor forwards (Marius Mouandilmadji, Fatih Kaya, Elayis Tavsan, Tanguy Coulibaly, and Jaures Assoumou) are unavailable due to muscle and thigh injuries.
• Additional Samsunspor squad members Afonso Sousa, Yunus Cift, and Igor Drapinski are also dealing with injuries (CL-1779dc1a-813).
• Kocaelispor enter on back-to-back league victories against Amed SK and Konyaspor (CL-71c6c1c0-bc2), while Samsunspor come off a 2-0 home loss to Fenerbahce (CL-19568052-83f).
• The best quote of 3.550 clears the acceptable hurdle of 3.540 by only 0.010 (0.28 percent), an advantage that would be eliminated by standard exchange commissions.

A published position is a research view, not a claim of certainty. Every position can lose.

Evidence and sources

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  Kasımpaşa vs Amed: Turkish Süper Lig stats & head-to-head - BBC Sport ↗

  ### Key Last Updated 5th September 2026 at 19:56 ## Head to Head ### Season so far Turkish Süper Lig ### Key ### League position ### Total points ### Form guide All competitions Copyright © 2026 BBC. The BBC is not responsible for the content of external sites. Read about our approach to external linking. [...] | 9 İstanbul Başakşehir | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | No Result No Re · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Süper Lig 26/27 | Transfermarkt ↗

  | | | (17.) Corum FK Corum FK | 4:00 PM | Eyüpspor Eyüpspor (15.) | | | | | | (11.) Trabzonspor Trabzonspor | 7:00 PM | Genclerbirligi Ankara Genclerbirligi (3.) | | | | | | (6.) Kocaelispor Kocaelispor | 7:00 PM | Samsunspor Samsunspor (10.) | | | | Mon 07/09/2026 | | (7.) C. Rizespor Caykur Rizespor | 7:00 PM | Alanyaspor Alanyaspor (12.) | | | | | | (16 · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Rizespor vs Kocaelispor: Süper Lig stats & head-to-head - BBC Sport ↗

  | 6 İstanbul Başakşehir | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 | W Result Win W Result Win W Result Win D Result Draw W Result Win L Result Loss | | 7 Samsunspor | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 30 | L Result Loss D Result Draw D Result Draw W Result Win L Result Loss L Result Loss | | 8 Kocaelispor | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 30 | L Result Loss D Result Draw L Result Los · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Sep 2026 ↗

  Fans love the opportunity to watch thousands of sporting events per year with the best betting apps. bet365 ## Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor Lineups & Team News Always review the Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor team news before locking in your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Super Lig lineups plus current injury reports. ### Kocaelispor Predicted Lineup 4-1-4-1 ### Samsunspor Predic · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Preview: Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor - prediction, team news, lineups - Sports Mole ↗

  Berkan Kutlu should retain his place in midfield after his influential opening weeks, while Haidara and Altunbas are candidates to continue after scoring against Konyaspor. Samsunspor have a sizeable injury list, with Fatih Kaya, Marius Mouandilmadji, Tanguy Coulibaly, Elayis Tavsan and Jaures Assoumou among those listed as unavailable, while Afonso Sousa, Yunus Cift and Igor Drapinski have also · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Fenerbahce vs Besiktas Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Sep 2026 ↗

  | # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P | --- --- --- --- | | 1 | Rizespor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 | | 2 | Kasimpasa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 | | 3 | Galatasaray | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 | | 4 | Samsunspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 | | 5 | Fenerbahce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 | | 6 | Genclerbirligi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 | | 7 | Gaziantep | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 | | 8 | Kocaelispor | 2 | · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Kocaelispor - Samsunspor Live - Turkish Süper Lig: Football Scores & Highlights - 06/09/2026 ↗

  TNT Sports is your source for the latest Turkish Süper Lig match updates. Get the full recap of Kocaelispor - Samsunspor, complete with · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Süper Lig Previews: Matchday 4 – Istanbul Derby Headlines High-Stakes Weekend Action ↗

  Kickoff: Sunday, September 6, 18:00 BST / 20:00 Local Venue: Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, İzmit Promoted Kocaelispor have taken the Süper Lig by storm, winning two consecutive matches against Amed SK (2–0) and Konyaspor (2–1). Powered by strong home support, they face a Samsunspor side licking their wounds after a 2–0 home loss to Fenerbahçe. Form Guide: Kocaelispor (L-W-W) | Samsunspor (L · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Kocaelispor - Samsunspor Stats: Football Scores & Results ↗

  # Kocaelispor - Samsunspor Statistics /assets.tntsports.io/web/img/match/football-header-bg-desktop.jpg) Kocaelispor logo/images.sports.gracenote.com/images/lib/basic/sport/football/club/logo/300/4669.png) Samsunspor logo/images.sports.gracenote.com/images/lib/basic/sport/football/club/logo/300/4111.png) Wins Draws Wins [...] Samsunspor [...] /images.sports.gracenote.com/images/lib/basic/spor · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Çorum FK top Süper Lig transfer charts as summer window closes | Daily Sabah ↗

  Çorum FK top Süper Lig transfer charts as summer window closes Çorum FK players take part in a training session at the club’s facilities as they prepare for their Trendyol Süper Lig Week 4 home match against Eyüpspor, Çorum, Türkiye, Sept. 3, 2026. (AA Photo) by Daily Sabah with Agencies Sep 05, 2026 2:17 pm [...] The winter transfer window will run from Jan. 1 through Feb. 5, 2027. Çorum FK l · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce Tips - Super Lig ↗

  Kerem Akturkoglu and Amara Diouf won't travel to Samsun due to injuries. Recent signing Romelu Lukaku is expected to start on bench. ## Super Lig Live Streams Time Sport Event Live 2026/08/29 04:00:00 PM Football Konyaspor v Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig Stream bet365 2026/08/29 06:30:00 PM Football Galatasaray v Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig Stream [.. · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor - live score, predicted lineups and H2H stats ↗

  Knee injury / Early October 2026 JovanovicKnee injuryEarly October 2026 Fatih Kaya Muscle injury / Mid September 2026 KayaMuscle injuryMid September 2026 Marius Mouandilmadji Thigh injury / Mid September 2026 MouandilmadjiThigh injuryMid September 2026 Elayis Tavsan Muscle injury / Mid September 2026 TavsanMuscle injuryMid September 2026 Tanguy Coulibaly Mus · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor - live score, predicted lineups and H2H stats ↗

  LeãoThigh injuryEarly September 2026 Bruno Petkovic Muscle injury / Mid September 2026 PetkovicMuscle injuryMid September 2026 Aleksandar Jovanovic Knee injury / Early October 2026 JovanovicKnee injuryEarly October 2026 ## Team form Galatasaray 3 - 2 Göztepe Erzurumspor FK 0 - 4 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2 - 2 Çorum FK Galatasaray 1 - 2 Villarreal G · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Preview: Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor - prediction, team news, lineups - Sports Mole ↗

  Winter signing Kerem Demirbay is suspended after being sent off late in the defeat to Trabzonspor, while fellow new arrival Rodrigo Becao is a doubt after being forced off injured in the same match. Samsunspor are expected to remain without Cetin Bedirhan and Tanguy Coulibaly, both of whom are recovering from knee injuries, while Afonso Sousa is ruled out with an ankle problem. [...] Emre Kilinc · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor - live score, predicted lineups and H2H stats ↗

  Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor on Sun, Dec 6, 2026, 18:00 UTC. Check live results, H2H, match stats, lineups, player ratings, insights, team forms, shotmap, · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Preview: Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor - prediction, team news, lineups ↗

  Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Trabzonspor, including predictions, team news and possible · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Galatasaray vs Samsunspor Turkish Super Lig game: Livestream, cable TV channels, kick-off time and the view from Turkey ↗

  How can you watch the Süper Lig match between Galatasaray and Samsunspor? Let's take a look at the kick-off time, team news and everything · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Kocaelispor v Samsunspor LIVE 06/09/2026 | Football - Flashscore ↗

  21+ Участь в азартних іграх може викликати ігрову залежність. Дотримуйтеся правил (принципів) відповідальної гри Loading... #### 21+ | COMPETENT REGULATOR EEEP | RISK OF ADDICTION & LOSS OF PROPERTY | KETHEA HELPLINE: 210 9237777 | PLAY RESPONSIBLY & SAFELY | France gouvernement #### Les jeux d’argent et de hasard peuvent être dangereux : pertes d’argent, conflits familiaux, addiction… Ret · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Bruno Petkovic - stats, career and market value ↗

  Bruno Petkovic scores highly on Rating compared to strikers in the Super Lig. Bruno Petkovic's 10 most recent matches are shown below. Visit each match page for full details including lineups, match events, and advanced statistics: Bruno Petkovic's next match is on August 24, 2026 when Kocaelispor face Amed Sportif in the Super Lig. [...] ## News ## About Bruno Petkovic is a 31-year-old footba · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Dan Agyei stats and ratings ↗

  Dan Agyei profile player page. Goals, matches, stats, player ratings and more. · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:12 UTC

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  Newly promoted Kocaelispor completed 13 signings during the summer transfer window, including Berkan Kutlu, Matej Maglica, Makana Baku, and several loan signings. ↗

  Daily Sabah reports that newly promoted Süper Lig club Kocaelispor completed 13 new signings during the summer window, bringing in players including Berkan Kutlu, Matej Maglica, Makana Baku, and several loan additions as part of a significant squad overhaul. · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:09 UTC

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  Kocaelispor host Samsunspor at Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu in Izmit having won consecutive matches against Amed SK and Konyaspor, while Samsunspor enter off a 2-0 home loss to Fenerbahce. ↗

  Turkish-Football reports that promoted Kocaelispor are hosting Samsunspor at Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu on Sunday, September 6 at 20:00 local time, carrying two straight league victories against Amed SK (2-0) and Konyaspor (2-1), while Samsunspor are coming off a 2-0 defeat to Fenerbahce. · retrieved 2026-09-06 06:09 UTC

Record and verification

How verification works · Public Ledger · All positions · The research candidate behind this position

Changes and settlement

The event has not started. Any change to this record is published here and in the change log.