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GL-20260911-006Published position · Football · Copa Libertadores
Over 1.5 total goals · Total
UPCOMING
Starts in4 hours 41 minutes
The live state appears at kick-off.
Over 1.5 total goals
Locked at 1.510066.2% implied probability
Virtual stake $1,000Potential virtual profit +$510
Simulated. No wager is placed.
What this status means
The available odds are still at or above the Minimum Qualifying Odds.
The recorded operator is the source at which GLINTARY observed the price. It is not a recommendation and not a guarantee that the price is available to you. View odds evidence →
Independiente del Valle v Flamengo-RJ — TOTAL_GOALS OVER 1.50
Independiente del Valle and Flamengo represent the two most potent attacking units in the 2026 Copa Libertadores, ranking first and second across the competition in total expected goals created (16.1 xG and 15.2 xG respectively). Independiente del Valle feature the competition's second-leading goalscorer Carlos González (seven goals) and enter on a five-match home winning streak in the tournament, while Flamengo remain unbeaten across eight Copa fixtures with six victories. This concentration of elite chance creation on both sides establishes a strong positive sporting case for at least two goals to be scored.
Main riskTwo-legged knockout ties can produce conservative first-leg tactical setups, which might restrict open-play scoring opportunities despite high season-long xG totals.
The case as it was frozen at lock, point by point.
At 1.5100 the market break-even is about 66.2%.
Two-legged knockout ties can produce conservative first-leg tactical setups, which might restrict open-play scoring opportunities despite high season-long xG totals.
A published position is a research view, not a claim of certainty. Every position can lose.
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo: team news, lineups, predictions ... ↗
## Last starting XIs Independiente del Valle ( vs Macará 2026-09-06): Aldair Quintana, Jhon Espinoza, Juan Viacava, Andy Velasco, Gustavo Cortez, Jordy Alcívar, Youri Ochoa, Edwin Quintero, Ronald Briones, Matías Perello, Djorkaeff Reasco Flamengo ( vs Remo 2026-09-06): Agustín Rossi, Emerson Royal, Léo Ortiz, Léo Pereira, Ayrton Lucas, Lucas Paquetá, Jorginho, Jorge Carrascal, Giorgian De Arras · retrieved 2026-09-10 06:55 UTC
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J. Papa Independiente del Valle head coach Joaquín Papa has no confirmed injuries or suspensions listed ahead of this fixture, and no probable lineup has been announced. Updates will be added closer to kick-off as the squad picture becomes clearer. Flamengo manager Leonardo Jardim is similarly without confirmed injury or suspension information at this stage. No projected XI has been released, an · retrieved 2026-09-10 06:55 UTC
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Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle - live score, predicted lineups and H2H stats ↗
57QuinteroMidfielder 10 Júnior SornozaMidfielder 10SornozaMidfielder 28 Hugo QuintanaMidfielder 28QuintanaMidfielder 9 Carlos GonzálezAttacker 9GonzálezAttacker 17 Arón RodríguezAttacker 17RodríguezAttacker 52 Yandri VásquezAttacker 52VásquezAttacker 31 Emerson PataAttacker 31PataAttacker Guido Villar Knee injury / Mid September · retrieved 2026-09-10 06:55 UTC
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2026 World Cup rosters: The 26-man squads for all 48 teams - Yahoo Sports ↗
Midfielders: Moisés Caicedo (Chelsea), Alan Franco (Atletico Mineiro), Alan Minda (Atletico Mineiro), Pedro Vite (Pumas), Jeremy Arevalo (Stuttgart), Kendry Páez (River Plate), Jordy Alcívar (Independiente del Valle), John Yeboah (Venezia), Denil Castillo (Midtjylland), Yaimar Medina (Genk), Gonzalo Plata (Flamengo) Forwards: Enner Valencia (Pachuca), Kevin Rodriguez (Union Saint-Gilloise), Jordy · retrieved 2026-09-10 06:55 UTC
TIER 2 · TRUSTED LOCAL
Midfielders: Moises Caicedo (Chelsea), Alan Franco (Atletico Mineiro), Kendry Paez (River Plate), Pedro Vite (UNAM), Jordy Alcivar (Independiente del Valle), Denil Castillo (Midtjylland), Yaimar Medina (Genk) Forwards: Enner Valencia (Pachuca), Kevin Rodriguez (Union Saint-Gilloise), Jordy Caicedo (Huracan), Nilson Angulo (Sunderland), Anthony Valencia (Antwerp), Jeremy Arevalo (Stuttgart) Sunde · retrieved 2026-09-10 06:55 UTC
TIER 1 · OFFICIAL
Flamengo are unbeaten in the CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026 (6W 2D). It is the fifth time the Rubro-Negro have gone unbeaten through their first eight matches of a Copa campaign, after 2022 (champions), 2021 (runners-up), 1991 (quarter-final exit) and 1981 (champions). Independiente del Valle are currently enjoying both their longest overall winning run (4W) and their longest winning run at home (5W) · retrieved 2026-09-10 06:55 UTC
TIER 1 · OFFICIAL
The two teams that have produced the most expected goals so far in the 2026 CONMEBOL Libertadores meet: Independiente del Valle (16.1 xG) and Flamengo (15.2 xG). Carlos González (Independiente del Valle) is the second-top scorer in the 2026 CONMEBOL Libertadores with seven goals: six of them were headers, although the last one came from a left-footed shot against Tolima in the return leg of the R · retrieved 2026-09-10 06:55 UTC
TIER 1 · OFFICIAL
Flamengo now await the winner of the tie between Independiente del Valle and Deportes Tolima — which the Ecuadorian side lead 1-0, to be decided next Tuesday in Quito — as they continue defending their crown on the road to another La Gloria Eterna. And their rivals have been served the worst possible notice: the Copa's most fearsome goalscorer no longer needs to score to hurt them. ## Related New · retrieved 2026-09-10 06:55 UTC
TIER 1 · OFFICIAL
A product of the club’s youth academy and a champion of the 2022 CONMEBOL Sudamericana and the 2023 CONMEBOL Recopa, the current captain heads into the clash with Flamengo knowing what it takes to beat the Rio giants at the Maracanã. In the 2026 edition of the CONMEBOL Libertadores, he experienced a rollercoaster of emotions. [...] Back to homepage News # From Rosario to Flamengo: Junior Sornoz · retrieved 2026-09-10 06:55 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
Flamengo © 2026 All rights reserved Escolinhas Fla Privacy Notice Careers Contact Us Press accreditation for the Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle-EQU second leg quarter-final clash in the 2026 Conmebol Libertadores is now open. The match is scheduled for September 17 at 21:30 (local time) at Estádio do Maracanã. [...] Football # PRESS ACCREDITATION OPEN FOR FLAMENGO VS INDEPENDIENTE DEL · retrieved 2026-09-10 06:55 UTC
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Flamengo turn to Libertadores, plan for Quito altitude before Del Valle test | OneFootball ↗
OneFootball's home page # Flamengo turn to Libertadores, plan for Quito altitude before Del Valle test | OneFootball Icon: OffsAIde ·7 September 2026 ## Flamengo turn to Libertadores, plan for Quito altitude before Del Valle test Fresh from a 1-0 win at Remo at the Mangueirão that put them top of Série A, Flamengo turn to the Libertadores and a Thursday trip to Independiente del Valle in Quit · retrieved 2026-09-10 06:55 UTC
TIER 3 · SECONDARY
The Road To Montevideo: 2026 Copa Libertadores Group Stage Preview ↗
## Flamengo Defending champions Flamengo come into the tournament as favourites, something that has been the case since they lifted the competition for a second time in 2019. Since then, the Rubro-Negro have reached three Libertadores finals, winning two of them in 2022 and 2025. Despite their recent form in the competition, they have never successfully defended the title, which they will now be · retrieved 2026-09-10 06:55 UTC
Provider is the data feed that delivered the observation; operator is the source at which the odds were shown. The recorded operator is the source at which GLINTARY observed the price. It is not a recommendation and not a guarantee that the price is available to you.
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