GLINTARY has not observed an entity called “” in a public scan, research case or position. A famous name that has not been on the schedule is not here, and that is deliberate.
GLINTARY has not observed an entity called “” in a public scan, research case or position. A famous name that has not been on the schedule is not here, and that is deliberate.
Declined after researchCandidate · not a published position
Cricket · CPLT20 · Starts
NOT AN OFFICIAL GLINTARY POSITION
This candidate was researched and did not become a published position. Nothing here was ever on the Board, in the Ledger or on X. Researched, assessed on merit and not published. Most candidates are meant to end here. The engine records this decision as PASS, which means the candidate passed through without a position.
Decision
Outcome
Declined after research
Decided
Main reason
Evidence grade below the lockable set (and 2 more)
Gates that did not pass
EvidenceA material claim was not adequately supportedFailed
UncertaintyEvidence grade below the lockable setFailed
Adversarial reviewAdversarial review found a blocking objectionFailed
Full gate trace (9 gates)Every gate in order, with its outcome and the reason code in words.
Event integrityReal, identified, pre-match fixture inside the lock windowPassed
EvidenceA material claim was not adequately supported
Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Trinbago Knight Riders: Guyana Amazon Warriors to win researched 10 September 2026, Declined after research | GLINTARY
Failed
PriceRecorded price clears the minimum qualifying oddsPassed
Price sourcePrice attributable to an identified source (global reference only)Passed
FreshnessPrice, evidence and personnel information within the age limitsPassed
UncertaintyEvidence grade below the lockable setFailed
Adversarial reviewAdversarial review found a blocking objectionFailed
DuplicationNo conflicting positionPassed
PresentationPresentation compliantPassed
Research
Evidence grade B-Adversarial review · Blocking
Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Trinbago Knight Riders (CPL 2026)
Guyana Amazon Warriors enter their September 11 home fixture against Trinbago Knight Riders holding a 4-0 record with 8 points and a 2.604 net run rate, while Trinbago Knight Riders sit at 2 wins and 5 losses from 7 matches. Coral offers a market-leading price of 1.910 against a consensus fair price of 1.805, but the case is obstructed by material roster turnover—including the departures of Mohammad Nabi and Rahmanullah Gurbaz—and reliance on a stale July 2025 injury report for Shimron Hetmyer and Brandon King.
Primary case
Guyana Amazon Warriors hold an undefeated record in CPL 2026 with 4 wins from 4 matches, accumulating 8 points and a net run rate of 2.604 (source: CS-0e14f111-c79).
Trinbago Knight Riders have struggled with form in CPL 2026, recording 2 wins and 5 losses across 7 matches for 4 points (source: CS-0e14f111-c79).
The September 11 match is scheduled in Guyana as part of a home stand for Guyana Amazon Warriors (claims CL-74e967e1-a48, CL-fad83a12-1a4).
Replacements Mehidy Hasan Miraz and Mohammad Haris joined Guyana Amazon Warriors and became available for selection starting September 9 to offset departing international players (claim CL-5d004e25-112).
Major uncertainty
The primary case relies on a STALE source from July 2025 (CS-13539abd-ee6) to assess the fitness and availability of key batsmen Shimron Hetmyer and Brandon King, compounded by unverified tactical disruption from the immediate departure of Mohammad Nabi and Rahmanullah Gurbaz.
Market context
The best global price available is 1.910 offered by Coral in the UK, placing it in the 86th percentile among 14 operator families.
The median market reference price across 14 operators is 1.785, with a leave-one-out consensus fair price of 1.805 against an acceptable threshold of 1.87.
Market dispersion across the 14 operators is 7.00%.
Price tracking contains only a single sample with no opening price, meaning directional market movement cannot be determined.
What the price requires
Coral's offering of 1.910 implies that the market may be pricing in significant tactical risk from Guyana's recent squad turnover, requiring Guyana Amazon Warriors to maintain their early-season winning form despite losing key contributors.
Requires incoming additions Mehidy Hasan Miraz and Mohammad Haris to integrate immediately without performance drop-off following the departure of Mohammad Nabi and Rahmanullah Gurbaz.
Material findings and their support9
Availability · material · for the caseMohammad Nabi and Rahmanullah Gurbaz depart Guyana Amazon Warriors after September 8 to join Afghanistan's national team for a T20I series against India.Supported
Availability · material · for the caseMehidy Hasan Miraz and Mohammad Haris joined Guyana Amazon Warriors and became available for selection starting September 9.Supported
Venue · material · for the caseThe match between Guyana Amazon Warriors and Trinbago Knight Riders on September 11 is scheduled to take place in Guyana.Supported
Rest · for the caseGuyana Amazon Warriors had a stretch of consecutive home matches scheduled on September 8, September 9, and September 11.Supported
Line-up · for the caseNicholas Pooran is the captain of Trinbago Knight Riders for CPL 2026, with Kieron Pollard, Sunil Narine, and Akeal Hosein retained in the squad.Supported
Other · material · for the caseGudakesh Motie transferred to the Barbados Tridents in the 2026 CPL local player draft.Supported
Other · material · for the caseTrinbago Knight Riders hosted five home group-stage fixtures at Queen's Park Oval between August 26 and September 2, 2026, including a match against Guyana Amazon Warriors on August 31.Supported
Other · material · for the caseBarbados was selected to host the 2026 CPL final after Guyana hosted four consecutive finals through 2025.
Adversarial review
The strongest case against the candidate, as recorded before the decision.
Material claim CL-a1da408a-041 concerning squad injuries is explicitly flagged as STALE, relying on a source from July 2025 (over 13 months old) to assess squad availability for a September 2026 match, leaving the evidence grade at B- (evidence_grade_lockable: false).
Blocking questions and why the market may be right
Blocking questions
F-01 [STALE_EVIDENCE] Material claim CL-a1da408a-041 is marked STALE, relying on source CS-13539abd-ee6 from July 2025, which caps the evidence grade at B- and makes locking indefensible. (refs: CL-a1da408a-041, CS-13539abd-ee6)
Why the market may simply be right
Coral's 1.910 quote sits at the 86th percentile among 14 operators, but the median consensus is 1.785; the broader market may already accurately price the disruption caused by the departure of Nabi and Gurbaz on national duty.
Why it entered research
Deterministic screening facts recorded when the scan admitted this selection. No model was involved at this step.
The screening row for this candidate was not retained.
Market
Moneyline
Best verified price
1.910
Market reference
1.785 · 14 operators
Minimum Qualifying Odds
1.87 · edge 5.84%
Technical detailsCandidate and scan identifiers, policy version, raw timestamps.
Other · material · against the caseShimron Hetmyer and Brandon King sustained side strains during the fifth T20I against Australia in St. Kitts, impacting squad selection.Stale
