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GLINTARY has not observed an entity called “” in a public scan, research case or position. A famous name that has not been on the schedule is not here, and that is deliberate.
Declined after researchCandidate · not a published position
Baseball · MLB · Starts
NOT AN OFFICIAL GLINTARY POSITION
This candidate was researched and did not become a published position. Nothing here was ever on the Board, in the Ledger or on X. Researched, assessed on merit and not published. Most candidates are meant to end here. The engine records this decision as PASS, which means the candidate passed through without a position.
Decision
Outcome
Declined after research
Decided
Main reason
Evidence grade below the lockable set (and 3 more)
Gates that did not pass
EvidenceA material claim was not adequately supportedFailed
FreshnessPersonnel information older than the limitFailed
UncertaintyEvidence grade below the lockable setFailed
Adversarial reviewAdversarial review found a blocking objectionFailed
Full gate trace (9 gates)Every gate in order, with its outcome and the reason code in words.
Event integrityReal, identified, pre-match fixture inside the lock window
Passed
EvidenceA material claim was not adequately supportedFailed
PriceRecorded price clears the minimum qualifying oddsPassed
Price sourcePrice attributable to an identified source (global reference only)Passed
FreshnessPersonnel information older than the limitFailed
UncertaintyEvidence grade below the lockable setFailed
Adversarial reviewAdversarial review found a blocking objectionFailed
DuplicationNo conflicting positionPassed
PresentationPresentation compliantPassed
Research
Evidence grade B-Adversarial review · Blocking
St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants: Series Opener Analysis
Evaluation of the series opener between the St. Louis Cardinals and the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park, evaluating pitcher matchups and roster attrition against available betting prices.
Primary case
Logan Webb has displayed strong form at Oracle Park, allowing 2 earned runs or fewer in each of his previous 4 home starts (CL-52d38e85-d62).
Alec Burleson provides offensive support against Webb, batting 4-for-9 with 1 home run and 4 RBIs in his career matchup (CL-04acec74-574, CS-f4c222f8-829).
St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Gordon Graceffo holds a 2.98 season ERA (CS-4d06010f-0c3).
Reported injury attrition impacts the Cardinals depth, with JJ Wetherholt on the 10-day IL with right wrist tendinitis and Blaze Jordan on the 10-day IL with an ankle injury (CL-e2c6574f-8b6), alongside pitchers Andre Pallante, Hunter Dobbins, and Peter Strzelecki on the 15-day IL (CL-6327d3b4-d59).
Major uncertainty
Material claim CL-04a4d955-15e cites source CS-deb87d72-363, which was published on 2026-04-01 (>158 days old), to substantiate a 10-day injured list placement for a game taking place in September 2026.
Market context
The current best global decimal price is 1.580 offered by onexbet in the EU region.
The market reference decimal price is 1.450 across a median of 7 operators, reflecting a de-vigged fair decimal price of 1.525, an implied fair probability of 65.56 percent, and an overround of 5.20 percent.
Market price dispersion stands at 8.97 percent across the 7 observed sportsbooks.
Historical price trajectory remains unknown as only a single price sample of 1.580 is recorded with no opening price data.
What the price requires
The onexbet decimal price of 1.580 requires an implied win probability exceeding 63.29 percent to maintain positive expected value.
Requires Cardinals run-prevention and lineup depth to overcome Logan Webb's run of home form where he allowed 2 or fewer earned runs across 4 consecutive starts.
Relies on the current roster assessment holding true despite multiple inactive pitchers and infielders.
Material findings and their support11
Injury · material · for the caseCardinals shortstop Masyn Winn was placed on the 10-day injured list due to a fractured left thumb.Supported
Injury · for the caseCardinals infielder JJ Wetherholt is on the 10-day injured list with right wrist tendinitis, and infielder Blaze Jordan is on the 10-day injured list with an ankle injury.Supported
Injury · for the caseCardinals pitchers Andre Pallante (right elbow inflammation), Hunter Dobbins (right forearm tightness), and Peter Strzelecki (right forearm extensor inflammation) are on the 15-day injured list.Supported
Statistic · for the caseLogan Webb has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in each of his previous 4 home starts.Supported
Statistic · for the caseAlec Burleson is 4-for-9 in his career against Logan Webb with 1 home run and 4 RBIs.Supported
Venue · for the caseThe series opener between the St. Louis Cardinals and the San Francisco Giants is hosted at Oracle Park.Supported
Other · for the caseAlec Burleson is 4-for-9 with a home run and four RBIs in his career against Logan Webb, and Logan Webb has allowed two earned runs or fewer in each of his past four home starts.Supported
Other · material · for the caseThe Cardinals placed Masyn Winn, Andre Pallante, JJ Wetherholt, Everson Pereira, Hunter Dobbins, and Peter Strzelecki on the injured list.
Adversarial review
The strongest case against the candidate, as recorded before the decision.
Material claim CL-04a4d955-15e cites source CS-deb87d72-363, which was published on 2026-04-01 (>158 days old), to substantiate a 10-day injured list placement for a game taking place in September 2026. In addition, the evidence grade is B- with evidence_grade_lockable explicitly failing, leaving the position supported by zero Tier 1 sources and zero fresh material claims.
Blocking questions and why the market may be right
Blocking questions
F-01 [STALE_EVIDENCE] Material injury claim relies on a source over 158 days old regarding a short-term 10-day IL placement. (refs: CL-04a4d955-15e, CS-deb87d72-363)
F-02 [RESEARCH_CONCLUSION_UNSUPPORTED] The research evidence grade fails policy lockability requirements. (refs: CL-04a4d955-15e, CL-bebfa219-95b)
Why the market may simply be right
The 7-operator median market reference is 1.450, while 1.580 is an isolated top price from onexbet, suggesting the fair de-vigged price (1.525) accurately captures the risk against Logan Webb at home.
Why it entered research
Deterministic screening facts recorded when the scan admitted this selection. No model was involved at this step.
The screening row for this candidate was not retained.
Market
Spread
Best verified price
1.580
Market reference
1.450 · 6 operators
Minimum Qualifying Odds
1.58 · edge 3.81%
Technical detailsCandidate and scan identifiers, policy version, raw timestamps.
Injury · against the caseGiants third baseman Matt Chapman will undergo season-ending surgery for an abdominal core muscle strain.Stale
Injury · against the caseGiants outfielder Jung Hoo Lee was placed on the injured list with a back strain, shortly after left fielder Heliot Ramos was sidelined with a right quad strain.Stale
Other · against the caseGiants third baseman Matt Chapman will undergo season-ending surgery for an abdominal core muscle injury, while Cardinals shortstop Masyn Winn was placed on the injured list with a broken thumb.Stale
San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 researched 6 September 2026, Declined after research | GLINTARY
