GLINTARY has not observed an entity called “” in a public scan, research case or position. A famous name that has not been on the schedule is not here, and that is deliberate.
GLINTARY has not observed an entity called “” in a public scan, research case or position. A famous name that has not been on the schedule is not here, and that is deliberate.
Declined after researchCandidate · not a published position
Football · Turkey Super League · Starts
NOT AN OFFICIAL GLINTARY POSITION
This candidate was researched and did not become a published position. Nothing here was ever on the Board, in the Ledger or on X. Researched, assessed on merit and not published. Most candidates are meant to end here. The engine records this decision as PASS, which means the candidate passed through without a position.
Decision
Outcome
Declined after research
Decided
Main reason
Evidence grade below the lockable set (and 2 more)
Gates that did not pass
EvidenceNo source of a high enough tierFailed
UncertaintyEvidence grade below the lockable setFailed
Adversarial reviewAdversarial review found a blocking objectionFailed
Full gate trace (9 gates)Every gate in order, with its outcome and the reason code in words.
Event integrityReal, identified, pre-match fixture inside the lock windowPassed
EvidenceNo source of a high enough tierFailed
PriceRecorded price clears the minimum qualifying oddsPassed
Price sourcePrice attributable to an identified source (global reference only)Passed
FreshnessPrice, evidence and personnel information within the age limitsPassed
UncertaintyEvidence grade below the lockable setFailed
Adversarial reviewAdversarial review found a blocking objectionFailed
DuplicationNo conflicting positionPassed
PresentationPresentation compliantPassed
Research
Evidence grade B-Adversarial review · Blocking
Göztepe vs. Gaziantep FK: Super Lig Round 4 Match Analysis and Valuation Review
Evaluation of Göztepe hosting Gaziantep FK in Round 4 of the Super Lig reveals significant reliance on severely outdated intelligence. While reports document missing personnel across both squads, foundational team and injury claims derive from sources published in 2023 and 2024, undermining their relevance for a September 2026 fixture against prevailing market pricing.
Primary case
Gaziantep FK reports seven missing squad members, including Allan Godói, Alexis Antunes, Furkan Bayir, Ibrahim Sabra, Nevzat Üzel, Noah Sonko-Sundberg, and Gökdeniz Bayrakdar.
Göztepe is listed with six player absences, notably Juninho Bacuna, Drissa Camara, Trivante Stewart, Ali Osman Kalın, Nazim Sangare, and Fuat Bavuk.
Reported lineups establish Stanimir Stoilov's Göztepe fielding Luka Gugeshashvili, Malcom Bokele, Ege Yildirim, Taha Altıkardeş, Efkan Bekiroglu, Richard Akonnor, Novatus Miroshi, Rhaldney, Arda Okan Kurtulan, Juan, and Sinclair Armstrong against Mirel Rădoi's Gaziantep FK.
Major uncertainty
The material lineup and injury claims depend on sources published in 2023 and 2024 (over 678 days old) that cannot carry factual personnel availability or starting lineups for a fixture scheduled in September 2026.
Market context
The best global price is observed at 4.300 via Smarkets in the UK region, meeting the acceptable threshold of 4.300 calculated with a 2.00% edge buffer and a 1.50% uncertainty margin.
The market reference median across 43 operators sits at 3.880, yielding a proportional de-vigged fair price of 4.153 with a 7.03% overround.
Dispersion across the 43 operators stands at 10.82%, with price tracking limited to a single observation sample at 4.100.
What the price requires
Actionability on the Smarkets quote of 4.300 requires the true away win probability to meaningfully exceed the implied market reference baseline of 3.880 (de-vigged 4.153).
The valuation assumes that Gaziantep FK's competitive level remains viable despite seven reported squad absences relative to Göztepe's six missing players.
Sustaining value demands that personnel data accurately reflects current September 2026 squad status rather than legacy campaign conditions.
Material findings and their support9
Injury · material · for the caseGaziantep FK lists Allan Godói, Alexis Antunes, Furkan Bayir, Ibrahim Sabra, Nevzat Üzel, and Noah Sonko-Sundberg as out with muscle injuries until mid-September 2026.Supported
Availability · material · for the caseGaziantep FK is also listed as missing Gökdeniz Bayrakdar for the match against Göztepe.Supported
Injury · for the caseGöztepe lists Fuat Bavuk as sidelined with a muscle injury expected until mid-September 2026.Supported
Availability · material · for the caseGöztepe lists Juninho Bacuna, Drissa Camara, Trivante Stewart, Ali Osman Kalın, and Nazim Sangare as missing players.Supported
Line-up · material · for the caseGöztepe's reported lineup features Luka Gugeshashvili in goal; Malcom Bokele, Ege Yildirim, and Taha Altıkardeş in defence; Efkan Bekiroglu, Richard Akonnor, Novatus Miroshi, Rhaldney, and Arda Okan Kurtulan in midfield; and Juan alongside Sinclair Armstrong in attack, coached by Stanimir Stoilov.Supported
Line-up · material · for the caseGaziantep FK's reported lineup features Kacper Tobiasz in goal; Florin Ștefan, Myenty Abena, Luis Pérez, and Deian Sorescu in defence; Alexandru Maxim, Victor Gidado, Kacper Kozłowski, and Ulrich Meleke in midfield; and Serdar Dursun with Sontje Hansen in attack, coached by Mirel Rădoi.Supported
Other · material · for the caseGaziantep FK will miss Allan Godói, Alexis Antunes, Furkan Bayir, Gökdeniz Bayrakdar, Ibrahim Sabra, Nevzat Üzel, and Noah Sonko-Sundberg, while Göztepe lists several missing players under manager Stanimir Stoilov.Supported
Other · material · for the caseMultiple players from Göztepe and Gaziantep FK are sidelined with muscle injuries until mid-September 2026 ahead of their Round 4 fixture.Supported
Venue · against the caseThe match between Göztepe and Gaziantep FK is scheduled to be played at ISONEM Park Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu.Stale
Adversarial review
The strongest case against the candidate, as recorded before the decision.
The material lineup and injury claims (CL-7b033297-1b9, CL-f8b60394-302, CL-57bbc1d1-8d1) depend on sources CS-763870b6-fc6 and CS-a4aa3a9d-9fc, which were published in 2024 and 2023 (over 678 days old). They cannot carry factual personnel availability or starting lineups for a fixture scheduled in September 2026.
Blocking questions and why the market may be right
Blocking questions
F-001 [STALE_EVIDENCE] Reported lineups rely on a source that is nearly two years old and cannot substantiate conditions for a September 2026 match. (refs: CL-7b033297-1b9, CL-f8b60394-302, CS-763870b6-fc6)
F-002 [RESEARCH_CONCLUSION_UNSUPPORTED] Injury reports projecting absences into September 2026 are attributed to sources published in 2023 and 2024. (refs: CL-57bbc1d1-8d1, CS-a4aa3a9d-9fc, CS-763870b6-fc6)
Why the market may simply be right
The median market price across 43 operators is 3.880, producing a de-vigged fair price of 4.153; the broader market may accurately price Goztepe as stronger favorites, making the 4.300 quote an unrepresentative off-market outlier.
Why it entered research
Deterministic screening facts recorded when the scan admitted this selection. No model was involved at this step.
The screening row for this candidate was not retained.
Market
Match Winner
Best verified price
4.300
Market reference
3.880 · 43 operators
Minimum Qualifying Odds
4.30 · edge 3.54%
Technical detailsCandidate and scan identifiers, policy version, raw timestamps.
