← All candidatesEngine ActivityThis scan
Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys
Over 2 total goals · Total
Declined after researchCandidate CAND-20260906-fc8b296c
NOT AN OFFICIAL GLINTARY POSITION
This candidate was researched and did not become a published position. Nothing here was ever on the Board, in the Ledger or on X. Researched, assessed on merit and not published. Most candidates are meant to end here. The engine records this decision as PASS, which means the candidate passed through without a position.
Decision
- Outcome
- Declined after research
- Main reason
- Evidence grade below the lockable set (and 2 more)
- Decided
- Policy
- v1.1
Gates that did not pass
- EvidenceToo few distinct sourcesFailed
- FreshnessNewest supporting source older than the limitFailed
- UncertaintyEvidence grade below the lockable setFailed
Full gate trace (9 gates)
- Event integrityReal, identified, pre-match fixture inside the lock windowPassed
- EvidenceToo few distinct sourcesFailed
- PriceRecorded price clears the minimum qualifying oddsPassed
- Price sourcePrice attributable to an identified source (global reference only)Passed
- FreshnessNewest supporting source older than the limitFailed
- UncertaintyEvidence grade below the lockable setFailed
- Adversarial reviewAdversarial review raised no blocking objectionPassed
- DuplicationNo existing position on this eventPassed
- PresentationPresentation compliantPassed
Why it entered research
Deterministic screening facts recorded when the scan admitted this selection. No model was involved at this step.
- Enough operators for a market reference
- Price inside the freshness limit
- Price above the de-vigged fair price
- Operators disagree on the price
- Screened
- Market
- Total
- Best verified price
- 2.000
- Market reference
- 1.810 · 3 operators
- Minimum Qualifying Odds
- 2.00 · edge 4.00%
Research
Evidence grade UNGRADEDAdversarial review · No objection
Research Position Note
The current best available price is offered by Bovada, with the market reference price established using the median across available operators.
Primary case
- The market reference price is established using the median across available operators.
Market context
- The current best available price is offered by Bovada.
- Price movement is currently unavailable as only a single sample point exists.
- The market shows a dispersion percentage across the observed operators.
What the price requires
- The price clears the required threshold based on observed data.
Major uncertainty
No material objection found as the data and thresholds satisfy pipeline criteria.
Adversarial review
The strongest case against the candidate, as recorded before the decision.
No material objection found as the data and thresholds satisfy pipeline criteria.