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← All candidatesEngine ActivityThis scan
Estudiantes 0 · Spread
Gates that did not pass
Deterministic screening facts recorded when the scan admitted this selection. No model was involved at this step.
A theoretical edge of 4.38% appears on onexbet at decimal odds of 2.310 relative to a 4-operator median reference price of 2.110. However, the position is undermined by an isolated single-sample quote, elevated 9.48% dispersion, blocking red team findings, and stale personnel intelligence.
Primary case
Market context
What the price requires
Major uncertainty
The edge rests entirely on a single-snapshot outlier quote from onexbet (2.310) against a 4-operator median of 2.110 (9.48% dispersion), while all four injury and suspension context claims are classified as STALE and there is zero price movement history.
Material findings and their support
The strongest case against the candidate, as recorded before the decision.
The edge rests entirely on a single-snapshot outlier quote from onexbet (2.310) against a 4-operator median of 2.110 (9.48% dispersion), while all four injury and suspension context claims are classified as STALE and there is zero price movement history.
Blocking questions
Why the market may simply be right