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ENGINE ACTIVITY · RESEARCH CANDIDATE
Draw · Match Winner
Gates that did not pass
While a best global decimal price of 4.200 at Matchbook meets the calculated acceptable threshold of 4.20 based on a 50-book consensus fair price of 4.054, there is currently no executable price available. Verified match context is limited to non-tactical factors—specifically matchday heat countermeasures and Keigo Higashi's post-match retirement ceremony—while core line movement and price history remain completely unobserved.
Primary case
Major uncertainty
The position sits directly on the acceptable price threshold of 4.20 with zero margin of safety above it, relying on an exchange quote (Matchbook) without accounting for exchange commissions, while there is no executable price currently available and movement trajectory is unknown.
CAND-20260906-e3b88570RUN-20260906-67a35771EV-20260906-b951e263432eThe strongest case against the candidate, as recorded before the decision.
The position sits directly on the acceptable price threshold of 4.20 with zero margin of safety above it, relying on an exchange quote (Matchbook) without accounting for exchange commissions, while the movement profile contains only a single sample with no known opening price or historical trend.
Blocking questions
Why the market may simply be right
Deterministic screening facts recorded when the scan admitted this selection. No model was involved at this step.
The screening row for this candidate was not retained.