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ENGINE ACTIVITY · RESEARCH CANDIDATE
Draw · Match Winner
Gates that did not pass
Dundee FC travel to Tynecastle Park on 6 September 2026 to face Hearts, who are operating on three days of rest following an Edinburgh derby and facing defensive absences. However, Dundee also suffer from significant attacking injuries, and the available price edge on the exchange is razor-thin and vulnerable to commission.
Primary case
Major uncertainty
The razor-thin gross edge at 4.900 is derived from a single unverified exchange quote and is completely eliminated once standard exchange commission (2% to 5%) is applied, dropping net odds below the 4.870 threshold.
CAND-20260906-d46882dcRUN-20260906-67a35771EV-20260906-0253c75efd80The strongest case against the candidate, as recorded before the decision.
The edge is razor-thin (4.900 against an acceptable threshold of 4.870) and relies exclusively on a raw quote from betfair_ex_uk with only a single recorded sample and no matched volume depth; any standard exchange commission (2% to 5%) instantly wipes out the edge and drops net returns well below the 4.870 acceptable threshold.
Blocking questions
Why the market may simply be right
Deterministic screening facts recorded when the scan admitted this selection. No model was involved at this step.