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Under 2.5 total goals · Total
Gates that did not pass
Deterministic screening facts recorded when the scan admitted this selection. No model was involved at this step.
Charlotte FC hosts Houston Dynamo at Bank of America Stadium entering on a four-match unbeaten run led by Pep Biel (11 goals, 9 assists), facing a Houston side that has conceded just two goals across their last five matches but will be without Lyle Foster. While Matchbook lists an outlier quote of 2.360 against a 22-operator median of 2.130, the pricing sits precisely on the minimum threshold with high dispersion and zero executable depth confirmed.
Primary case
Market context
What the price requires
Major uncertainty
The position relies entirely on a single isolated exchange quote of 2.360 from Matchbook that sits exactly on the acceptable threshold boundary (2.360) against a 22-operator median of 2.130 (10.80% dispersion), which is an unexplained outlier that drops below the threshold once standard exchange commissions are accounted for.
Material findings and their support
The strongest case against the candidate, as recorded before the decision.
The position relies entirely on a single isolated exchange quote of 2.360 from Matchbook that sits exactly on the acceptable threshold boundary (2.360) against a 22-operator median of 2.130 (10.80% dispersion), which is an unexplained outlier that drops below the threshold once standard exchange commissions are accounted for.
Blocking questions
Why the market may simply be right