Columbus Crew SC vs Colorado Rapids

Draw · Match Winner

Declined after researchCandidate CAND-20260906-aaa83b8a

NOT AN OFFICIAL GLINTARY POSITION

This candidate was researched and did not become a published position. Nothing here was ever on the Board, in the Ledger or on X. Researched, assessed on merit and not published. Most candidates are meant to end here. The engine records this decision as PASS, which means the candidate passed through without a position.

Decision

Outcome: Declined after research
Main reason: Evidence grade below the lockable set (and 3 more)
Decided: 2026-09-05 19:42 UTC
Policy: v1.2

Gates that did not pass

EvidenceA material claim was not adequately supportedFailed
PriceRecorded price below the minimum qualifying oddsFailed
UncertaintyEvidence grade below the lockable setFailed
Adversarial reviewAdversarial review found a blocking objectionFailed

Full gate trace (9 gates)

Event integrityReal, identified, pre-match fixture inside the lock windowPassed
EvidenceA material claim was not adequately supportedFailed
PriceRecorded price below the minimum qualifying oddsFailed
Price sourcePrice attributable to an identified source (global reference only)Passed
FreshnessPrice, evidence and personnel information within the age limitsPassed
UncertaintyEvidence grade below the lockable setFailed
Adversarial reviewAdversarial review found a blocking objectionFailed
DuplicationNo conflicting positionPassed
PresentationPresentation compliantPassed

Why it entered research

Deterministic screening facts recorded when the scan admitted this selection. No model was involved at this step.

The screening row for this candidate was not retained.

Screened: not retained
Market: Match Winner
Best verified price: 3.870
Market reference: 3.500 · 59 operators
Minimum Qualifying Odds: 3.89 · edge 3.20%

Research

Evidence grade CAdversarial review · Blocking

Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids Match Analysis and Price Evaluation

Colorado Rapids travel to face Columbus Crew at Lower.com Field on September 5, 2026. While Colorado enters having won four of their last five matches and Columbus sits bottom of the Eastern Conference on a five-match losing streak, key availability reports for both squads are stale and the edge relies on a single isolated operator quote.

Primary case

Columbus Crew are bottom of the Eastern Conference with a 5-5-12 record and have lost five consecutive matches across competitions, conceding 13 goals while scoring 5 over their last five outings (CL-4734e426-3c7, CS-5285ff21-fbb).
Colorado Rapids enter in superior recent form with a 10-1-11 record, winning four of their last five matches while scoring 5 goals and conceding only 3 (CL-c3513d6d-346, CS-5285ff21-fbb).
Columbus Crew reportedly have four players ruled out and Colorado Rapids list six players ruled out on availability reports (CS-581122f9-e72).

Market context

The best available decimal price is 3.870 via onexbet in the EU region recorded at 2026-09-05T19:32:19.211Z under evidence OE-3a1b2582488ffe27.
The market reference price is 3.480 based on the median across 60 operators, with a de-vigged fair price of 3.734 (26.78% fair probability, 7.30% overround) and 11.21% dispersion across the market.