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Sorana Cirstea +4.5 · Spread
Gates that did not pass
Deterministic screening facts recorded when the scan admitted this selection. No model was involved at this step.
While a theoretical edge appears present based on a global price of 1.910 against a de-vigged fair price of 1.816, the position is critically undermined by an absence of an executable price, high market dispersion across only three operators, and unverified foundational claims.
Primary case
Market context
What the price requires
Major uncertainty
There is no executable price recorded (best_executable is null), making execution impossible while the edge calculation rests on an unconfirmed three-operator sample with 13.69% dispersion and unverified match claims.
Material findings and their support
The strongest case against the candidate, as recorded before the decision.
There is no executable price recorded (best_executable is null), making locking impossible, while the edge calculation relies on an extremely narrow sample of only three operators exhibiting wide price dispersion (13.69%) and three of the four supporting claims are completely unsupported.
Blocking questions
Why the market may simply be right