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Under 56 total points · Total
Gates that did not pass
Deterministic screening facts recorded when the scan admitted this selection. No model was involved at this step.
The screening row for this candidate was not retained.
Delaware State travels to Zable Stadium to face William & Mary following both teams' season-opening victories. An apparent 3.62% edge exists via a single 1.920 quote from williamhill_us compared to a fair price of 1.853 derived from a 1.740 median reference price across three books. However, extreme operator dispersion of 10.34%, the absence of price history, and a blocking red team assessment undermine confidence in the actionable integrity of the price.
Primary case
Market context
What the price requires
Major uncertainty
The proposed edge relies entirely on a single unexplained outlier quote of 1.920 from williamhill_us against a 3-operator median reference of 1.740 (generating 10.34% dispersion), captured in a single snapshot with zero recorded price history.
Material findings and their support
The strongest case against the candidate, as recorded before the decision.
The proposed edge relies entirely on a single unexplained outlier quote of 1.920 from williamhill_us against a 3-operator median reference of 1.740 (generating 10.34% dispersion), captured in a single snapshot with zero recorded price history.
Blocking questions
Why the market may simply be right