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Tennis · ATP US Open ·

Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli

Alexander Blockx to win · Moneyline

Declined after researchCandidate CAND-20260905-e15475c3
NOT AN OFFICIAL GLINTARY POSITION
This candidate was researched and did not become a published position. Nothing here was ever on the Board, in the Ledger or on X. Researched, assessed on merit and not published. Most candidates are meant to end here. The engine records this decision as PASS, which means the candidate passed through without a position.

Decision

Outcome
Declined after research
Main reason
A blocking open question remains (and 4 more)
Decided
Policy
v1.1

Gates that did not pass

  • EvidenceNo source of a high enough tierFailed
  • PriceRecorded price below the minimum qualifying oddsFailed
  • FreshnessConfirmed personnel information required and not yet publishedFailed
  • UncertaintyA blocking open question remainsFailed
  • Adversarial reviewAdversarial review raised a blocking questionFailed
Full gate trace (9 gates)
  1. Event integrityReal, identified, pre-match fixture inside the lock windowPassed
  2. EvidenceNo source of a high enough tierFailed
  3. PriceRecorded price below the minimum qualifying oddsFailed
  4. Price sourcePrice attributable to an identified source (global reference only)Passed
  5. FreshnessConfirmed personnel information required and not yet publishedFailed
  6. UncertaintyA blocking open question remainsFailed
  7. Adversarial reviewAdversarial review raised a blocking questionFailed
  8. DuplicationNo existing position on this eventPassed
  9. PresentationPresentation compliantPassed

Why it entered research

Deterministic screening facts recorded when the scan admitted this selection. No model was involved at this step.

  • Enough operators for a market reference
  • Price inside the freshness limit
  • Price above the de-vigged fair price
  • Operators disagree on the price
Screened
Market
Moneyline
Best verified price
1.970
Market reference
1.930 · 11 operators
Minimum Qualifying Odds
2.11 · edge -3.05%

Research

Evidence grade A-Adversarial review · Low

Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli: US Open Third Round

Alexander Blockx and Flavio Cobolli face each other in the third round of the 2026 US Open Men's Singles on Saturday, September 5.

Primary case

  • Alexander Blockx and Flavio Cobolli are scheduled to play in the third round of the US Open Men's Singles 2026.
  • Alexander Blockx faces Flavio Cobolli in the third round of the 2026 US Open Men's Singles on Saturday, September 5.
  • Alexander Blockx reached his first Masters 1000 semifinal in Madrid and his first ATP Tour final in Estoril in 2026.

Market context

  • The best available price is found on betrivers.
  • The market reference price is derived from the median across multiple operators.
  • The market shows moderate dispersion across the sampled operators.
  • FanDuel Sportsbook provides Moneyline betting markets for the Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli US Open match on September 5, 2026.

What the price requires

  • The current market price requires an accurate assessment of both players' form in the 2026 US Open third round clash.

Major uncertainty

The current price movement tracking is based on a single sample, preventing any historical price movement analysis or trend confirmation.

Material findings and their support

  • Other · material · for the caseAlexander Blockx and Flavio Cobolli are scheduled to play in the third round of the US Open Men's Singles 2026.Supported
  • Other · material · for the caseAlexander Blockx faces Flavio Cobolli in the third round of the 2026 US Open Men's Singles on Saturday, September 5.Supported
  • Other · material · for the caseAlexander Blockx reached his first Masters 1000 semifinal in Madrid and his first ATP Tour final in Estoril in 2026.Supported
  • Other · material · for the caseFanDuel Sportsbook provides Moneyline betting markets for the Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli US Open match on September 5, 2026.Supported

Adversarial review

The strongest case against the candidate, as recorded before the decision.

The current price movement tracking is based on a single sample, preventing any historical price movement analysis or trend confirmation.

Blocking questions

  • What do historical or opening lines indicate about the trajectory of this price?

Why the market may simply be right

  • The market features moderate dispersion across 11 sampled operators, indicating a well-hashed consensus price.