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El Paso Chihuahuas vs Las Vegas Aviators
El Paso Chihuahuas to win · Moneyline
Declined after researchCandidate CAND-20260905-6784b3ca
NOT AN OFFICIAL GLINTARY POSITION
This candidate was researched and did not become a published position. Nothing here was ever on the Board, in the Ledger or on X. Researched, assessed on merit and not published. Most candidates are meant to end here. The engine records this decision as PASS, which means the candidate passed through without a position.
Decision
- Outcome
- Declined after research
- Main reason
- Evidence grade below the lockable set (and 2 more)
- Decided
- Policy
- v1.1
Gates that did not pass
- EvidenceToo few distinct sourcesFailed
- FreshnessNewest supporting source older than the limitFailed
- UncertaintyEvidence grade below the lockable setFailed
Full gate trace (9 gates)
- Event integrityReal, identified, pre-match fixture inside the lock windowPassed
- EvidenceToo few distinct sourcesFailed
- PriceRecorded price clears the minimum qualifying oddsPassed
- Price sourcePrice attributable to an identified source (global reference only)Passed
- FreshnessNewest supporting source older than the limitFailed
- UncertaintyEvidence grade below the lockable setFailed
- Adversarial reviewAdversarial review raised no blocking objectionPassed
- DuplicationNo existing position on this eventPassed
- PresentationPresentation compliantPassed
Why it entered research
Deterministic screening facts recorded when the scan admitted this selection. No model was involved at this step.
- Enough operators for a market reference
- Price inside the freshness limit
- Price above the de-vigged fair price
- Operators disagree on the price
- Screened
- Market
- Moneyline
- Best verified price
- 2.500
- Market reference
- 2.250 · 5 operators
- Minimum Qualifying Odds
- 2.49 · edge 4.25%
Research
Evidence grade UNGRADEDAdversarial review · No objection
Position Research Note
This research note evaluates the current market position based on available pipeline data and operator pricing.
Primary case
- The current best price is offered by betrivers.
Market context
- The market reference price is determined using the median of available operators across several sources.
- There is only a single sample available for price movement, so historical movement percentage is not established.
- The market shows a dispersion percentage among the operators.
- The position still clears the threshold.
Major uncertainty
No material objection found; the pipeline data fully supports the position according to the specified metrics.
Adversarial review
The strongest case against the candidate, as recorded before the decision.
No material objection found; the pipeline data fully supports the position according to the specified metrics.