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Thomas Carty to win · Moneyline
Gates that did not pass
Deterministic screening facts recorded when the scan admitted this selection. No model was involved at this step.
The screening row for this candidate was not retained.
Thomas Carty faces veteran David Allen over 10 scheduled rounds at Croke Park on September 5, 2026. While DraftKings offers an apparent outlier price of 2.900 against a 5-operator median reference price of 2.400, the position is unexecutable due to a null executable path, single-tick data capture, and 20.83% market dispersion.
Primary case
Market context
What the price requires
Major uncertainty
There is no executable price available ('best_executable' is null), and the apparent edge relies entirely on a single-sample reading with 20.83% dispersion across only 5 operators.
Material findings and their support
The strongest case against the candidate, as recorded before the decision.
There is no executable price available ('best_executable' is null), and the apparent edge relies entirely on a single-sample reading with 20.83% dispersion across only 5 operators.
Blocking questions
Why the market may simply be right