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Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo
Francisco Cerundolo to win · Moneyline
Declined after researchCandidate CAND-20260905-5b6a711f
NOT AN OFFICIAL GLINTARY POSITION
This candidate was researched and did not become a published position. Nothing here was ever on the Board, in the Ledger or on X. Researched, assessed on merit and not published. Most candidates are meant to end here. The engine records this decision as PASS, which means the candidate passed through without a position.
Decision
- Outcome
- Declined after research
- Main reason
- Confirmed personnel information required and not yet published (and 1 more)
- Decided
- Policy
- v1.1
Gates that did not pass
- PriceRecorded price outside the allowed odds bandFailed
- FreshnessConfirmed personnel information required and not yet publishedFailed
Full gate trace (9 gates)
- Event integrityReal, identified, pre-match fixture inside the lock windowPassed
- EvidenceMaterial claims supported by enough distinct sourcesPassed
- PriceRecorded price outside the allowed odds bandFailed
- Price sourcePrice attributable to an identified source (global reference only)Passed
- FreshnessConfirmed personnel information required and not yet publishedFailed
- UncertaintyNo unresolved conflict or blocking questionPassed
- Adversarial reviewAdversarial review raised no blocking objectionPassed
- DuplicationNo existing position on this eventPassed
- PresentationPresentation compliantPassed
Why it entered research
Deterministic screening facts recorded when the scan admitted this selection. No model was involved at this step.
- Price above the de-vigged fair price
- Enough operators for a market reference
- Price inside the freshness limit
- Screened
- Market
- Moneyline
- Best verified price
- 6.500
- Market reference
- 5.800 · 11 operators
- Minimum Qualifying Odds
- 6.31 · edge 6.77%
Research
Evidence grade AAdversarial review · No objection
Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Research Note
Taylor Fritz and Francisco Cerundolo are scheduled to play in the 2026 US Open Men's Singles Round of 32 on September 5, 2026.
Primary case
- Taylor Fritz and Francisco Cerundolo are scheduled to play in the 2026 US Open Men's Singles Round of 32 on September 5, 2026.
Market context
- The highest price available globally is found on FanDuel.
- The market reference price is determined using the median across multiple operators.
- The movement is tracked across a single sample with no opening price comparisons available.
- The market exhibits a moderate degree of price dispersion across the participating operators.
What the price requires
- The market requires the scheduled match between Taylor Fritz and Francisco Cerundolo to take place as planned.
Major uncertainty
No material objection was found; the data meets the required threshold and parameters.
Material findings and their support
- Other · material · for the caseTaylor Fritz and Francisco Cerundolo are scheduled to play in the 2026 US Open Men's Singles Round of 32 on September 5, 2026.Supported
- Other · material · for the caseTaylor Fritz and Francisco Cerundolo are scheduled to play in the 2026 US Open Men's Singles Round of 32 on September 5, 2026.Supported
Adversarial review
The strongest case against the candidate, as recorded before the decision.
No material objection was found; the data meets the required threshold and parameters.